Hi, friends!
I hope your day is going well.
Been confused about something lately? I genuinely don’t understand weather temp forecasts. Specifically how they don’t seem to update them sometimes.
For example, the other day it said high 15, low 11. Yet it was 0 degrees outside. I think it got finally to about 8 degrees that day. I understand that forecasts are just educated guesses based on weather modeling, but I don’t understand why the low wasn’t updated to reflect the actual temps?
Remove the word “educated” from this post and the confusion will go with it.
If they updated for correction every time they’d have to call them retrocasts instead of forecasts and then no one would ever pay attention to them.
High/low temps are also over the course of 24 hours. So if it was 15 degrees at midnight then that’s the high temp, not whatever it was at 3pm.
I’ll see that with rain percentages too, where the forecast for the day will say 50% while it’s raining buckets.
I think in that case it has something to do with the overall area that’s in the prediction, so if a storm doesn’t cover all of it, then the prediction doesn’t change, or something like that.
50% chance of rain somewhere within the stated area. If it is raining where you are chances are it isn’t in other places within said area. Otherwise…see my above comment regarding the retrocast (a term I coin, officially) ^
Believe me, back in the Big 80s I was so tech-forward. One of the things I studied over in Das Vaterland was how the “computer revolution” could somehow make a command economy work (like they had in East Germany, the DDR) in the way it was transforming traditional banking. At my first real corporate job I was my small office’s tech guy. I forget what software we used, but I was fluent in it and also became the office’s unofficial HR rep, dutifully keeping track of people’s sick and vacation days. Not the most professional of operations, but I was honest and straightforward and people trusted me, so it all worked out.
NOW, to this day, I don’t know how to turn on the TVs, we have a “smart” washing machine, which I’m scared of, and the thought of an operating software pushed upgrade absolutely horrifies me, so I’m constantly vigilant and denying the upgrades to go through. Software from 2018 is good enough for me, thank you very much.
Here’s a confusing thing. My daughter just got her license. Somehow, adding her to our insurance is just under $100 / year.
I’m not complaining, but I’m not sure how that math works.
Congratulations to her.
As for the $100 that’s because she’s a young female not an idiot young male prone to speeding and piss poor judgement.
Adding my son a couple of years ago was about $18 billion. I figured she’d be less, but not that much less.
I remember being in a car in high school with girls driving, and they were pretty awful too. Things like eating ice cream and having the passenger steer.
True but they don’t get killed or have an accident rate like young men do.
A lot of us young males thought that was horribly unfair. However I knew about 10 young men who died from my high school because of auto accidents vs 1 young woman.
Stupid testosterone.
I thought I was going to die.
I guess I didn’t, so maybe that’s proof.
This one fits, and it made me chuckle, because I had NO idea *how* Travis Kelce’s name was pronounced, until he started dating TSwift, and suddenly newscasters *everywhere* were saying his last name…
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/travis-kelce-how-to-pronounce_n_65a95619e4b00bbb446e52c9
I had honestly *thought* that the Kelce brothers went by “Kelss” not “Kel-cee”/”Kelsey”, so *hearing* it be pronounced like Kelsey was like learning Samuel Pepys is called Samuel “Peeps” *not* “Pep-iss” (as it is SUPPOSED to be!🤫)…
But reading that Huffpo article tonight, and discovering that the Kelce Brothers are called “Kel-see” because everyone at their dad’s job messed up HIS last name, and the poor man just got tired of correcting *everyone* (including the boys’ Mom, when they started dating!😆😂🤣) was an absolute hoot!🤣🤣🤣
And it reminded me of the old Peeps/Pepys/Pep-iss discussion a few years back, over on Twitter, when Professor Gagnon & so many other awesome folks talked about the BS parts of Academia, and the gatekerping of certain Academics, about “fitting in” when one may have never had a chance to *hear* how certain words & names are pronounced, because they grew up in places where the only opportunity they had to *learn* that info, was by reading about it, themselves.😉🤗💖
weather report says its dry outside
my standing outside in my boxers having a smoke report says its snowing….
also…..my feet are cold
Then drop your drawers and your feet will be warmer.
good idea!
honestly i only put them on incase my neighbours are still awake
3 am is iffy time
Sometimes in the middle of the night the dog has suddenly made it clear she needed to go out, and I’ve jumped out of bed to go outside with her.
I’ve never gone out around that time with the full moon showing, you might say. But I have had to go out to call her back with the front window open, you might also say.