…the sum of the parts [DOT 26/2/23]

leaves a hole in the whole...

https://xkcd.com/1201/

…so…fun fact…the term paranoia comes from para…& anoia…some might tell you the para part comes from a latin term to do with shielding or guarding…but if you go back to the greek…where it could mean contrary to…but could also mean, more or less…alongside…& anoia…that one’s definitely of greek extraction…& means “extreme mental deficiency“…which happened to be something I found myself reminded of this morning…for reasons you are of course free to speculate upon…or not…before…during…after…or, indeed instead of…reading the rest of this lot…either way…etymology can be fun…like…learning…or science…science is pretty neat

An electric heat pump is an all-in-one heating and cooling unit, essentially an air-conditioner that runs in two directions. In the summer, it functions like a traditional A.C. unit, pumping heat out of the home and circulating cooled air inside. In the winter, it draws heat into the home. That might seem surprising, but it’s true. Even when it’s bitterly cold outside, there is still heat available. As it gets colder, heat pumps have to work harder, using more energy, to extract that heat.

But even in cold weather, electric heat pumps are more energy efficient than the gas or oil furnaces that heat many homes. Those furnaces generate heat by burning fuel. In theory, for every one unit of energy input, they can only produce one unit of energy output. In reality, even the most efficient gas-powered furnaces don’t convert 100 percent of their fuel into heat. Some is always lost in the conversion process.

Heat pumps, in contrast, don’t generate heat. They transfer it. That allows them to achieve more than 300 percent efficiency in some cases. […]

As they’ve grown in popularity, heat pumps have increasingly been the subject of misconception and, at times, misinformation. Fossil-fuel industry groups have been the origin of many exaggerated and misleading claims, including the assertion that they don’t work in regions with cold climates and are likely to fail in freezing weather.

While heat pumps do become less efficient in subzero temperatures, many models still operate close to normally in temperatures down to minus 13 degrees Fahrenheit, or minus 24 Celsius. Some of the latest models are even more efficient, and many “cold” countries, like Norway, Sweden and Finland, are increasingly embracing heat pumps.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/02/22/climate/heat-pumps-extreme-cold.html

…seriously…it’s like…I dunno…a bunch of really smart people studied really hard for a long time & then thought about something until they had an idea worth testing…& some of those ideas were

A report published this week by the global engineering company Danfoss estimated that in the EU alone, excess heat was equal to 2,860 TWh a year, almost the same as the EU’s total energy demand for heat and hot water.

Surplus heat is released into the air from a wide range of sources, including supermarkets, transport networks, data centres and commercial buildings. Much of this can be captured and used via existing heat recovery technologies, such as heat pumps, plus more efficient air conditioners and manufacturing machinery according to the authors of the report. Other solutions include improved urban planning and district energy systems based on networks of renewable energy supplies for both heating and cooling.

Brian Vad Mathiesen, a professor in energy planning and renewable energy systems at Aalborg University, led the research cited in the report that builds on his team’s previous Heat Roadmap Europe projects.[…]

There was “huge, unharnessed potential” to the excess heat produced by heavy industry, such as chemical manufacturing, steel and cement production. In the EU, that amounts to more than 267 TWh a year, more than the combined heat generation of Germany, Poland and Sweden in 2021.

Data centres are also major consumers of electricity. In 2020, European data centres consumed about 3.5% of the region’s electricity demand, according to ReUseHeat, an EU project that explored barriers to urban heat recovery. The report highlights that the UK has an abundance of excess energy, including from 456 data centres. “That’s third most in the world, just behind Germany and the US,” explains Kim Fausing, the president and chief executive of Danfoss, who believes recycling heat is a crucial step towards a green transition.

“If businesses were to harness all the excess heat from these centres, the emissions savings and revenue from selling this heat would be highly significant. In Greater London, we have identified at least 648 eligible excess heat sources, including data centres, underground stations, supermarkets, wastewater treatment plants, and food production facilities. Why aren’t businesses and local government organisations using these?” said Fausing, adding that London’s excess heat equated to 9.5 TWh a year, roughly the amount of heat required to heat 790,000 households. “Reusing excess heat offers incredible opportunities for businesses throughout the UK to reduce their emissions, save money and make money. What are we waiting for?”

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/feb/23/recapturing-excess-heat-could-power-most-of-europe-say-experts

…like…not bad?

Sucking carbon dioxide out of the sky — or “direct air capture,” as it is known by experts and scientists — is a bit like a time machine for climate change. It removes CO2 from the atmosphere and stores it deep underground, almost exactly the reverse of what humanity has been doing for centuries by burning fossil fuels. Its promise? That it can help run back the clock, undoing some of what we have done to the atmosphere and helping to return the planet to a cooler state.

The problem with direct air capture, however, has been that it takes energy — a lot of energy. Carbon dioxide only makes up 0.04 percent of ambient air, making the process of its extraction chemically and energy intensive. According to the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, by 2100 the world needs to remove between 100 and 1,000 billion tons of carbon dioxide from the air to meet its most ambitious climate goals — or between 10 and 100 times China’s annual emissions. But if the energy powering that comes from fossil fuels, direct air capture starts to look less like a time machine than an accelerator: a way to emit even more CO2.

…ok…they can’t all be winners…but…bear with them

Now, however, a company is working to combine direct air capture with a relatively untapped source of energy: Heat from Earth’s crust. Fervo Energy, a geothermal company headquartered in Houston, announced on Thursday that it will design and engineer the first purpose-built geothermal and direct air capture plant. With the help of a grant from the Chan Zuckerberg Initiative, the company hopes to have a pilot facility online in 3 to 5 years.

If it works, it will be a way to produce carbon-free electricity, while reducing CO2 in the atmosphere at the same time. In short, a win-win for the climate.

…pretty sure that sounds plenty cool even if you aren’t a nerd…& the catch doesn’t even seem like it should be a deal-breaker

“You have to have your energy from a carbon-free source” for direct air capture to make sense, said Timothy Latimer, the CEO of Fervo Energy. “Geothermal is a great match.”
[…]
Geothermal wells don’t, of course, get anywhere close to Earth’s core, but a geothermal well drilled just 1 to 2 miles into hot rocks below the surface can reach temperatures of up to 1,000 degrees. Water is pumped into the well, heated and returned to the surface, where it can be converted into steam and electricity.

Even after generating electricity, most geothermal plants have a lot of waste heat — often clocking in around 212 degrees. And conveniently, that happens to be the exact temperature needed to pull carbon dioxide out of an air filter and bury it underground.

Hélène Pilorgé, a research associate at the University of Pennsylvania who studies carbon dioxide removal, says that one of the main ways to pull CO2 out of the air is known as the “solid sorbent” method. Big fans draw air into a box with an air filter; the air filter is then heated to around 212 degrees to remove the CO2 for burial. That high temperature “fits well with the energy that geothermal can provide,” Pilorgé said.
[…]
According to one study co-authored by Pilorgé, if air capture were combined with all of the geothermal plants currently in the United States, the country could suck up around 12.8 million tons of carbon dioxide every year.
[…]
There is also much more funding available for direct air capture than there is for geothermal alone. The Energy Department is offering up to $74 million for demonstration projects of new geothermal technologies but a whopping $3.5 billion to establish regional hubs for direct air capture. Geothermal has often been called the “forgotten renewable” — useful, but not as sexy or appealing as solar or wind.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-solutions/2023/02/23/geothermal-direct-air-capture-fervo/

…so

A Guardian analysis of data collected by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and by non-profit groups that track chemical accidents in the US shows that accidental releases – be they through train derailments, truck crashes, pipeline ruptures or industrial plant leaks and spills – are happening consistently across the country.

By one estimate these incidents are occurring, on average, every two days.
[…]
In the first seven weeks of 2023 alone, there were more than 30 incidents recorded by the Coalition to Prevent Chemical Disasters, roughly one every day and a half. Last year the coalition recorded 188, up from 177 in 2021. The group has tallied more than 470 incidents since it started counting in April 2020.
[…]
The precise number of hazardous chemical incidents is hard to determine because the US has multiple agencies involved in response, but the EPA told the Guardian that over the past 10 years, the agency has “performed an average of 235 emergency response actions per year, including responses to discharges of hazardous chemicals or oil”. The agency said it employs roughly 250 people devoted to the EPA’s emergency response and removal program.
[…]
The vast majority of incidents, however, occur at the thousands of facilities around the country where dangerous chemicals are used and stored.

“What happened in East Palestine, this is a regular occurrence for communities living adjacent to chemical plants,” said Stanislaus. “They live in daily fear of an accident.”

In all, roughly 200 million people are at regular risk, with many of them people of color, or otherwise disadvantaged communities, he said.
[…]
Accident rates are particularly high for petroleum and coal manufacturing and chemical manufacturing facilities, according to the EPA. The most accidents logged were in Texas, followed by Louisiana and California.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/feb/25/revealed-us-chemical-accidents-one-every-two-days-average

…so we’re getting right on that, then?

In October, Kentucky’s attorney general ordered some of the nation’s biggest banks and investment firms to turn over piles of documents that had the word “climate” or “environmental” in them. The bankers went to court to fight him.

Like a growing number of states, Kentucky has a new type of law on the books targeting financial institutions that “boycott” companies that don’t get past some kind of an E.S.G. screening. What the states mean by boycott isn’t always clear.

E.S.G. — which refers to environmental, social and governance standards — has become a point of contention for red-state legislators defending the fossil fuel industries that employ their residents.

There’s just one problem with this fledgling anti-E.S.G. movement: To act and invest in a state’s best interest ought to mean taking every risk into account, including climate change. And lawsuits like the one in Kentucky are a reminder of the fact that few of us have a good grip on how to properly define risk.
[…]
In October, [Daniel Cameron, the state attorney general] issued subpoenas and civil investigative demands. He targeted Bank of America, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo. His office announced that it planned to examine “documents relating to the companies’ involvement with the United Nations’ Net-Zero Banking Alliance.” The information requested, the office said, “centers on suspected financial discrimination against companies that do not align with the United Nations’ ‘net-zero’ climate agenda.”
[…]
It would be easy to dismiss this mudslinging as a kind of political sideshow. No one close to this — literally nobody — wanted to have a substantive conversation about the investing principles at issue.

The roster of no-commenters included not just the bankers and the state attorney general but also the state treasurer and endowment manager at the University of Louisville, a public institution. On Friday, the University of Kentucky, another public institution, said in a statement that it was reviewing its holdings “to determine what next actions, if any, it is required to take under the law.”

…if your head hurts…it’s not you…the purpose of the net-zero thing is explicitly to mitigate the effects of a massive problem…but they have a massive problem with the idea that might translate into a preference for companies that…you’ll never guess…aren’t predicated entirely on a principle of making it worse because it’s always paid so well…almost like…what they call those things…market forces? …nah…can’t be those…capitalism would never hurt the profit margin of a fossil fuel based business model…it’d be…unnatural

But as the law and its loophole allow, it is those very investment returns, and the proper stewardship of state money generally, that are of primary concern when you are a government employee who is duty bound to act in the best interest of the people you serve. Any process that supports such actions is well worth enacting.

So what is E.S.G., anyway? As investors rename their firms and their funds in a race to ride the E.S.G. wave, cynics see the debate over the term’s definition as degenerating into everyone seeing gibberish. Because funds can define E.S.G. nearly any way they want, they have come to resemble an extra-strange goulash. Sometimes, these new or newly rebranded operations are just elegantly simple greenwashing and nothing more.

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/02/24/your-money/anti-esg-investing-kentucky.html

…elegant simplicity…it’s not always what’s called for

Phoenix Community Capital established itself last year as a cryptocurrency project and investment scheme, which it said at one point was valued at $800m (£665m). It was a sponsor of one [all-party parliamentary group], and its co-founder, Luke Sullivan, spoke at an event for a second APPG , as well as appearing as a panellist for events hosted by peers in parliament.

However, the company appears to have vanished in September last year, with its website going offline and the investment portfolios, known as “nests”, becoming inaccessible to an estimated 8,000 investors after that date.
[…]
Some of the firm’s assets and its name appear to have been sold to a new company run by an individual called “Dan”, who has told investors it has no obligation towards them, but that it would still try to make them some returns.

Asked what had happened to the company and its investments, Sullivan said he would respond if the Guardian flew to the Philippines to discuss it further. He criticised the Guardian for making “a number of factual errors” and said he was not being allowed an opportunity to “clarify the real facts”, and then said he could not respond to a further request for comment.

The company had promoted itself online by referring to its links to the House of LordsAPPGs and parliamentarians.

The situation is likely to fuel concerns about the use of parliament and the APPG system by companies to lend themselves prestige and access to politicians without much scrutiny.
[…]
It also shines a light on the rise of lobbying of MPs and peers by the crypto sector as the government considers the case to bring it under regulation. The sector is largely unregulated, and the Financial Conduct Authority has repeatedly warned investors that they risk losing all of their money.
[…]
The founders of Phoenix Community Capital, including Sullivan, who was based in the UK, appear to have left the company in September and a now-deleted message on its Twitter feed said it was under new management. Some investors claim to have lost more than $100,000 each.

The new incarnation of the company, controlled by “Dan”, released a message on an internet forum in October last year saying that around 1,000 investors had made positive returns totalling around $57m, while around 7,400 were in the red to the tune of $87m.
[…]
Docherty-Hughes said: “I have spoken on several occasions in the house and elsewhere about the pernicious use of opaque funding in our politics, and the loopholes that still exist which allow individuals and companies to influence the political process without requisite scrutiny. It has been clear to me for some time that APPGs are one such back door that has been left wide open, giving access and privileges around parliament to people who really don’t deserve it.

“[…] The vast majority of APPGs, including those I am a member of, would have nothing to fear from tighter regulation that ensured transparency and accountability in the process of funding this vital work.”

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/feb/23/crypto-firm-with-links-to-parliamentary-groups-appears-to-have-vanished

…hmmm…leaving aside the happy coincidence that dan is a recently popular acronym for…what was it again…”do anything now”, iirc…that sounds like no amount of supposed elegance should have been able to get that kind of simply fraudulent bit of snake oil peddling up close & personal with “the mother of parliaments”…I mean…your westminster elite is better than that, right? …elite…the clue is in the name…right?

A secretive organisation accused of collaborating with far-right activists has been operating out of the House of Lords for more than a decade, a cache of leaked documents suggests.

The organisation, called the New Issues Group (NIG), includes the former Ukip leader Malcolm Pearson and the Tory former deputy speaker of the House of Lords Baroness Cox.
[…]
Confirming the group’s existence, Cox denied that the NIG was anti-Muslim, saying it could “certainly not” be described in such a way.

Instead, she said, it was a “meeting of people who support the aims of my bill”, referring to a private member’s bill, first introduced in 2011, which aims to protect Muslim women in Britain from sharia law. “I have strong support from Muslim women,” she added.

…seems like the folks at hope not hate might…differ?

One way the documents indicate that the group may have attempted to influence parliament was through writing questions to be asked in the Lords. Minutes of a November 2013 meeting indicate that Anne Marie Waters – who in 2016 set up the UK branch of the anti-Islam group Pegida with Tommy Robinson – “was asked if she would help draft a question for Caroline Cox to ask in the Lords”. Cox did not comment when asked about the apparent involvement of Waters.
[…]
Another member of the NIG was Alan Craig, a former Ukip spokesperson who launched the far-right group Hearts of Oak in 2020. Its online “guests” include Tommy Robinson, founder of the anti-Muslim English Defence League (EDL). Craig denied he was far-right, describing himself a “social conservative by conviction”.

Among the documents is a 2015 “memorandum” created by another NIG member, Magnus Nielsen – a known anti-Muslim activist with links to the EDL – which outlined a proposal to launch a street protest organisation.

…but…for years…this stuff stuck below the radar…or at least these people’s blushes were spared…until

Founded in 2012, the group met as recently as January this year. Its existence emerged after Pearson sent an email to 235 people but – instead of bcc-ing them – accidentally sent it so that everyone could see the entire list.

Among an array of Conservative party MPs, aristocrats, bishops, businessmen and journalists were high-profile far-right figures including Geert Wilders from the Netherlands, Tommy Robinson and US anti-Islam activist Pamela Geller, who was banned from entering the UK in 2013.

Pearson’s email stated: “Islam is a vast subject. But if we try to discuss it in public, we are accused of Islamophobia. Our MPs are too frightened of the growing Muslim vote to discuss it. Several of my fellow peers jeer when I raise it in the Lords.”

When asked about the email, Pearson said it was about “Islamism, political Islam and radical Islam, which I think we should be allowed to discuss without being labelled Islamophobic”.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/feb/25/house-of-lords-worked-with-far-right

…he’d like it to be known that trying to discuss in private things which, if discussed in public, would result in accusations of islamophobia…likely on account of it being a discussion specifically with people whose islamaphobic credentials are well-established…is…well it certainly isn’t islamaphobic…perish the thought…but…just for fun…imagine if, say, someone in that situation could sue the paper for “defamation per se”?

…so…yeah…that’s apparently where we’re at…so…if when empty greene mentioned divorce the other day part of you felt like, sure, those were papers you’d probably sign…if the whole notion wasn’t patently absurd & entirely unworkable to the point of seeming like pretty much pure grandstandin…oh…wait

In its most familiar form, the paradox for which the Greek philosopher Zeno of Elea is best known can be summarized like this: You can never actually reach your destination.

After all, in order to get there, you have to first travel halfway there. So off you march, reaching the halfway point. Once you arrive at that point, you’re in essence starting a new journey. To complete that journey, you have to first travel half of the new, shorter distance. So you do. Now you arrive at the new halfway point (three-quarters of the way from the initial starting point), and again start a new trip; you now have to travel half of the new distance to your goal. And, once you get there, you still have half of the remaining distance to go. The journey begins again.
[…]
Call it Zeno’s politics.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/02/24/zenos-politics-useful-lens-this-weird-moment/

…yeah…so…anyway…that was totally exactly what you think it was

You can probably tell, from the substance of Greene’s comments, that this “national divorce” is more paranoid fantasy than serious proposal. Even so, it rests on a set of ideas and tropes that are in wide circulation in the public at large.

Let’s start with the idea that individual states constitute singular political communities, meaning that there is a real distinction between Americans who live in “big states” versus “small states,” between the residents of Montana and those of Massachusetts. There’s also the idea that partisan divides between states represent fundamental differences of culture and interest. And then there’s the idea, underneath all this, that states are, or ought to be, the fundamental unit of representation in the American political system.

Taken together, those ideas make a “national divorce” seem, if not likely, then at least plausible. But there’s a problem. States are not actually singular political communities. There are partisan divides between states, even large ones, but they do not represent fundamental differences of culture and interest. And although states play an important role in the American political system, they are not the autonomous, nearly independent units of either Representative Greene’s imagination or the folk civics that shapes political understanding for tens of millions of Americans.
[…]
But let’s say you could split each state into its constituent interests, so that majorities would not form against it. Well, then, Madison says, you would find yourself in the same situation as before: “In the smallest of the fragments, there would soon be added to previous sources of discord a manufacturing and an agricultural class, with the difficulty experienced in adjusting their relative interests, in the regulation of foreign commerce if any, or if none in equalizing the burden of internal improvement and of taxation within them.”

No matter how small you go, in other words, you run into the simple fact that there’s no such thing as a truly homogeneous political community. There will always be differences of belief and interest, and the only way to deal with them in a representative, republican government is through deliberation and majority rule.

What was true in the 18th and 19th centuries is true now. A “national divorce” is possible only if the states represent singular political communities. But they don’t. A conservative, deep “red” state like Oklahoma still has liberal, “blue” cities and suburbs with conflicting interests. If you tried to separate conservative rural areas from liberal urban ones, you’d quickly find that within those subdivisions lie profound political differences among both individual people and groups of people.

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/02/24/opinion/marjorie-taylor-greene-national-divorce.html

…but…even if you get the part where it’s of a piece with this shit

…there’s still a decent chance you might have come up short of how entirely fucked up it was…or she is…or…just…read the thread

…yeah…he’s still pretty good with those…so…help yourselves to another

…meanwhile…back in the realm of fragile egos & other things that are less resilient than advertised

…ever wondered what the overhead looks like for wedging “AI” into every-damn-thing?

Powering many of these applications is a roughly $10,000 chip that’s become one of the most critical tools in the artificial intelligence industry: The Nvidia A100.

The A100 has become the “workhorse” for artificial intelligence professionals at the moment, said Nathan Benaich, an investor who publishes a newsletter and report covering the AI industry, including a partial list of supercomputers using A100s. Nvidia takes 95% of the market for graphics processors that can be used for machine learning, according to New Street Research.
[…]
Big companies or startups working on software like chatbots and image generators require hundreds or thousands of Nvidia’s chips, and either purchase them on their own or secure access to the computers from a cloud provider.

Hundreds of GPUsare required to train artificial intelligence models, like large language models. The chips need to be powerful enough to crunch terabytes of data quickly to recognize patterns. After that, GPUs like the A100 are also needed for “inference,” or using the model to generate text, make predictions, or identify objects inside photos.
[…]
“A year ago we had 32 A100s,” Stability AI CEO Emad Mostaque wrote on Twitter in January. “Dream big and stack moar GPUs kids. Brrr.” Stability AI is the company that helped develop Stable Diffusion, an image generator that drew attention last fall, and reportedly has a valuation of over $1 billion.

Now, Stability AI has access to over 5,400 A100 GPUs, according to one estimate from the State of AI report, which charts and tracks which companies and universities have the largest collection of A100 GPUs — although it doesn’t include cloud providers, which don’t publish their numbers publicly.
[…]
These GPUs aren’t cheap. In addition to a single A100 on a card that can be slotted into an existing server, many data centers use a system that includes eight A100 GPUs working together.

This system, Nvidia’s DGX A100, has a suggested price of nearly $200,000, although it comes with the chips needed. On Wednesday, Nvidia said it would sell cloud access to DGX systems directly, which will likely reduce the entry cost for tinkerers and researchers.

For example, an estimate from New Street Research found that the OpenAI-based ChatGPT model inside Bing’s search could require 8 GPUs to deliver a response to a question in less than one second.

At that rate, Microsoft would need over 20,000 8-GPU servers just to deploy the model in Bing to everyone, suggesting Microsoft’s feature could cost $4 billion in infrastructure spending.

…suddenly throwing $10billion at integrating this stuff doesn’t sound like it buys you as much as you’d think…imagine if bing was actually popular

“If you’re from Microsoft, and you want to scale that, at the scale of Bing, that’s maybe $4 billion. If you want to scale at the scale of Google, which serves 8 or 9 billion queries every day, you actually need to spend $80 billion on DGXs.” said Antoine Chkaiban, a technology analyst at New Street Research. “The numbers we came up with are huge. But they’re simply the reflection of the fact that every single user taking to such a large language model requires a massive supercomputer while they’re using it.”

The latest version of Stable Diffusion, an image generator, was trained on 256 A100 GPUs, or 32 machines with 8 A100s each, according to information online posted by Stability AI, totaling 200,000 compute hours.

At the market price, training the model alone cost $600,000, Stability AI CEO Mostaque said on Twitter, suggesting in a tweet exchange the price was unusually inexpensive compared to rivals. That doesn’t count the cost of “inference,” or deploying the model.

…it’s important to keep these things in perspective

Huang, Nvidia’s CEO, said in an interview with CNBC’s Katie Tarasov that the company’s products are actually inexpensive for the amount of computation that these kinds of models need.
[…]
Huang said that Nvidia’s GPUs allow startups to train models for a much lower cost than if they used a traditional computer processor.

“Now you could build something like a large language model, like a GPT, for something like $10, $20 million,” Huang said. “That’s really, really affordable.”
[…]
The A100 also has the distinction of being one of only a few chips to have export controls placed on it because of national defense reasons. Last fall, Nvidia said in an SEC filing that the U.S. government imposed a license requirement barring the export of the A100 and the H100 to China, Hong Kong, and Russia.

The fiercest competition for the A100 may be its successor. The A100 was first introduced in 2020, an eternity ago in chip cycles. The H100, introduced in 2022, is starting to be produced in volume — in fact, Nvidia recorded more revenue from H100 chips in the quarter ending in January than the A100, it said on Wednesday, although the H100 is more expensive per unit.

The H100, Nvidia says, is the first one of its data center GPUs to be optimized for transformers, an increasingly important technique that many of the latest and top AI applications use. Nvidia said on Wednesday that it wants to make AI training over 1 million percent faster. That could mean that, eventually, AI companies wouldn’t need so many Nvidia chips.

https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/meet-10000-nvidia-chip-powering-race-rcna72155

…or…there’ll be millions of the fucking things…who knows…maybe by then they’ll want a divorce?

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34 Comments

  1. Me every time Daniel Cameron, or Kentucky for that matter, shows up in the DOT.

  2. These anti laws are basically sand castles against the tide of reality.

    As for Moron Tuber Goop’s national divorce… the net result would be that a bunch of poor dipshit morons get the freedom from blue state tax money. Plus those fuckwits would up end up fighting each other over whose sect of dumb was the dumbest.

    • …I have more sympathy for the scots talking about dropping out of that other union…it probably wouldn’t work out as well for them as the fans of the idea make out…but the argument for why they might want to strike out on their own at least makes sense to me

      …the “red states” would either have to go the “let’s don’t & say we did” route…or the whole thing would turn them into a bunch of failed micro-nations?

      • Would independent Scotland be less workable than independent Ireland?

        I assume it would be a bumpy at first as they get started, but Brexit seems to have gutted a lot of the case for staying. Why hitch your cart to a team that seems incapable of going anywhere?

        • The irony is that Brexit has increased EU support everywhere else. And also put a big ass damper on Quebec independence as Brexit shows the painful reality of ditching a common economic union (Canada and the NAFTA.)

          I don’t blame Scotland if they ditched the dolts and rejoined the EU. Makes more sense, but Scots, despite the reputation for cheapness, know a good deal when they see one.

          Life is much better when we work together which is continually lost of free marketers aka 1% boot lickers, libertarians and egotistical morons… which is almost one in the same.

        • …rough & ready…ireland as a unified island could make a go of it if not for the “loyalists” like the DUP who insist NI be treated as though it’s part of the other landmass & not the one it physically makes up part of…so…in that sense…it works

          …scotland…economically speaking currently pulls off some neat tricks…they can provide more for free in terms of social care & health provision for example…or not charging fees to uni students…& it looks like those books would balance without westminster getting involved…but that is potentially misleading

          …the north sea oil & gas, for example, is worth a bunch to the exchequer…but because it runs that way scotland is insulated from the fluctuations in price & gets a more predictable cashflow

          …I’m over-simplifying it…but in a bumper/lean year model without that smoothing out…it’s a lot harder to keep those perks & not run into trouble with the book keeping?

          …so…on balance…ideology is the problem in the case of a unified ireland…whereas for scotland the numbers maybe don’t add up the way they’re talked up…so…it kind of doesn’t work the same

          …the case for giving it a shot has maybe never been this good, though?

          • the case for giving it a shot has maybe never been this good, though?

            Right, the basis for good government isn’t where you’ve been but where things are headed.

            The logic of the right is to take aim at outsiders and take from them. Scotland has to worry what happens if the right starts looking for scapegoats and people to pay for the right’s failures.

            • …in the sense that the tory party is electorally DOA in scotland currently…& likely for some years to come…”the right” having the whip hand over them is a big part of the motivation to push for independence

              …but…it’s not clear that even if they had a vote they’d actually get a majority for ditching the UK…or have fast-track route into the EU…so it might not necessarily be “the right” who could stir up discontent in a newly independent scotland…but buyer’s remorse would be way the hell up there on the list of ways it could backfire if they pulled that trigger, for sure

  3. seems dilbert got himself cancelled

    https://edition.cnn.com/2023/02/25/business/dilbert-comic-strip-racist-tirade/index.html

    which was surprising to me…coz i didnt know dilbert was still going..its like…the bad web comic from the 90s to me

    that aside tho….im getting the impression this was all very intentional on his part and getting dropped by the newspapers is expected collateral damage

    • i am also admittedly mostly digging into this story to distract myself from the whole china considering selling weapons to russia story…

      which for the moment is just scuttlebutt..and only getting media attention here to send a message to china to…you know…not do that

      the sanctions and shit that would follow that would play merry hell on the markets and probably supply chains….

      not happy making

      (i mean…the whole ww3 by proxy side of things is a bit of a shit too…but im focusing on the things i will notice over here)

      • …yeah…china isn’t helping, for sure…but if it does go from not-helping to actively snowballing that whole thing

        …oof

        …that would suck

    • …it’s sort of a shame in that I sort of like the character of dogbert…but he’s been that kind of asshole for long enough that you could well be right about it being part of a bid for “alt” bragging rights…cancelled=”relevance” or some such nonsense?

      • dogbert does have his moments…

        but from what (admittedly little) i know about scott adams….the dude might be an asshole…but hes not stupid

        so he must have known how this would go

        being as rich as he is nuking your short term income in favour of ?

        is a viable tactic

    • I don’t think Bill Gates and Jeff Bezos are exactly stupid, but they cost themselves $100 billion because they couldn’t figure out how to keep their unzipped pants more of a secret.

      I kinda doubt Adams has been doing much of Dilbert for years, anyways. It’s pretty common for successful strips to rely on gagwriters and assistant artists, and I suspect he hasn’t been doing much but ranting in years.

      Bill Watterson did it all himself, and I think the strain of keeping up the quality is what led him to quit.

      • yeah…okay fair point

        could be i am giving the guy too much credit and he just dun fucked up

        feels like it was intentional tho…. you know…my gut says theres more to this

        or last nights lasagna isnt agreeing with me

    • i dont think its changed since we got invented

      same shit…different age

      better media coverage

      if anything…we are all so interdependent on each other now we might actually wipe ourselves out….unlike when we were little tribes having little lives apart from eachother and getting by or dying as we may

  4. I am a little skeptical of the carbon capture thing…

    • I wish these idiots would find some originality.  I see the odd “Fuck Trudeau” flag from good Xtian morons especially with their anti-vax protests.

      I really feel bad for these kids because with homeschooling from parents like these they’re going to find employment tough except within the circle of their fellow travelers.

    • …I don’t think it’s a silver bullet…& a fair bit of stuff flying that flag is likely bullshit…but pairing up geothermal energy production with carbon capture for the heat that bleeds off seems a pretty good fit…& the physics works

      ….but if their numbers are right tying that trick to all the existing geothermal power plants in the US would only capture 12million-odd tonnes/year…which is out by between one & three orders of magnitude from where we need to get

      …still a string worth adding the bow would be my guess…which might not go for the stuff the honest government folks were talking about?

      • There is no single answer, just as there is no single cause. One of the basic arguments of the boosters of climate change is to break everything down to small enough parts to where it can be discounted, in a sloppy, malignant take on one of Zeno’s paradoxes, to tie this to stuff above.

        Building a wind turbine here will only power 1,000 homes, so don’t bother. Planting 1,000 trees won’t make a measurable dent, so don’t bother.

        I don’t think carbon capture is a magic bullet, but thinking harder about where it’s feasible is pretty reasonable.

        • …yeah…capture isn’t as good as not releasing the stuff in the first place…but we’ve been at the latter for long enough we’re definitely in why-not-both territory

          …but the capture/storage stuff…much like the “carbon credits” thing…has more than its share of charlatans hawking stuff that doesn’t actually add up beyond padding their bottom lines…so I think it’s a fair criticism in a sense…while also making no sense not to take the “freebie” type of thing that pairing of capture+geothermal offers?

  5. those honest gubment adds are a treasure.

     

    also the bottom pic reminded me of f1 (its the season again and i am a single minded person)

    f1 banned grid girls…coz objectification… and fair enough… it is that…put a load of models out work tho

    then along comes the gp of the americas….and lo and behold…theres no grid girls

    cheerleaders everywhere tho

    is it only objectification if you dont have pom poms in the states?

    i like rules to make sense goddamnit

    • There’s money to be made, with those Cheerleaders, Farscy!

       

      The young women *being* the cheerleaders won’t see much of the scratch *themselves,* but plenty of folks around them will make money off them.

      There’s the “events” they can be hired out for, the photoshoots/ posters/ calendars/ etc, that the girls will sign at those events–which the attendees can buy off the “team” websites… there are the garments the cheer squad needs (tights, “chicken cutlets” uniforms, boots/shoes), makeup, hairstylists/salon services to be hired on the regular, practices to attend, haircolors to be kept up at ^abovementioned^ salons (at the Cheerleader’s own expense, plus tips–although there *may* be a slight discount on the service itself)…

      Depending on the squad, there may be *enhancements* to be purchased at a discount from the plastic surgeon sponsoring the squad…

      Lots of ways, for multiple people to make money off the bodies & looks of the young women who are suckered into being on these “Cheerleading Squads” for the *prestige,* and *exposure*

      I know that stuff, because I used to work for a company that made the Uniforms for more than half the cheer squads in the NFL and at least half of the NBA… and we also had the Tampa Bay Lightning’s squad (interesting & cool year, ages ago, the year the Pistons, Shock, and Tampa Bay Lightning all won their respective league championships–although typically the WNBA squads back then either didn’t have cheer squads *or* they re-used as many women as they could, from the NBA’s cheer team)…

      As a company, *we* typically made around 25K from each pro squad, to make their new uniforms for the season & refurbish the old ones… minor leagues like the Arena Football leagues typically had budgets of 10-15K for their cheer uniforms… and we were just the uniform maker–there were tights to purchase, shoes, boots, gear bags, etc.

      The cheerleaders on the Pro squads were typically assigned a haircolor for the season. The initial dye job was usually taken care of by the team-sponsor salon,  but i’m not sure the “maintenance” was… same thing with the mandatory spray-tan or regular tans… I know the tips had to come out of the cheerleaders’ pockets… the chicken cutlets to “fill out” the girls’ tops were also an expense of the girls on the squad–otherwise the cost of (discounted) plastic surgery from the squads sponsoring plastic surgeon was a cost that many women from certain squads** paid out, too.

      The thing the women got from being a cheerleader on the squad (aside from all the harassment!), was the “prestige” of being “A PRO Cheerleader!”

      Not *really* much, admittedly! Buuuut, it does tend to hold some weight, and bring in business, for the ones who later go on to own/run their own Dance Studio–especially the women who own studios in smaller/more rural towns, where dance types might not be known, but where the regional Pro Sprotz team is something *everyone* knows/recognizes.

       

      (**the Washington team, in particular used that model!🙃)

  6. …”etymology can be fun“… Yes!!!! Also, the AI stuff is fascinating. I love seeing glimpses of the future. Finally, it is heartbreaking that people such as DeSantis and Greene have enough support to be elected. Non-cretins need to hold the line, somehow, against this idiocy.

  7. “The numbers we came up with are huge. But they’re simply the reflection of the fact that every single user taking to such a large language model requires a massive supercomputer while they’re using it.”

    I think this is an issue a lot of AI evangelists aren’t dealing with, except for handwaving toward Moore’s law or quantum computers.

    Big Data was supposed to do the same thing a dozen or so years ago, and that turned out to have some useful applications, but only a small  fraction of what it was supposed to do.

    The costs of computing, especially on the human side, combined with the tiny incremental benefits they were chasing in the end, didn’t match up in the large majority of cases.

    AI in the form of isolated apps is a vastly different thing than networking whole suites of AI enabled elements — the networking involves an entire magnitude of complexity for every single element added.

    Part of the handwaving also includes the notion that AI can handle this network growth itself, but I think that’s just wild speculation. I think the odds of a fatal corrupting error being introduced early and metastacizing out of control as the organism grows are incredibly high, and most likely beyond anyone’s ability to anticipate, either human or AI.

    • …I think the networking side of the infrastructure equation is fairly separable from the resource allocation stuff for the LLM style AIs…& although “the cloud” makes it seem simple & resilient enough to most users that they don’t even try to get their head around the sort of math that makes telephone exchanges seem trivial…which is misleading…”we” (or at least the googles & netflixes & such of the online world) have demonstrated that they can scale that stuff pretty effectively

      …but AWS & rackspace or whoever can’t easily spin up an instance of an AI that complex for every device out there trying to ask it something…that “inference” part of the workflow is kind of the main event…& almost nobody can run that shit on the local end of the network arrangement…so either in terms of cost or just load it isn’t clear that scales the way we’ve got used to

      …in a sense these large language models are “big data”…the individual datum being words not numbers/tags/whatever…& clever as phones have got I don’t think we’re ready for a $5000 phone with half a petabyte of storage & an external GPU cluster you have to tow around after you so the assistant can sound more like a person when you ask google a question…so…something’s gotta give?

      • I think you’re right to be skeptical about the expansion of phones — it’s turning out that consumer demand for apps is flatlining because people can only tolerate so much interaction with their phones. After talking, texting, photos, a few places for content and a few games, there just isn’t much time left.

        And as far as AI, the issue is that companies don’t want language bots just to talk to people or write press releases, they want them to do things. Not just answer calls about HR policies, but create them. Not just say how many carriage bolts are in inventory, but project usage and take over ordering.

        Getting into that level of complexity where the bots will have to engage with and control multiple systems is a fantastically hard network building exercise. I’m not sure it’s possible, and I’m even less clear there is economic value there. I think there’s a huge amount of fantasizing about costs and benefits.

        • …I think there’s maybe a bit of a gulf between the kind of automated “optimization” that things like the production/supply adjustment on-the-fly imply & the kind of autonomy we associate with “intelligence”

          …to take a different example…in the same way that LLMs very much are searle’s chinese room & thus don’t understand either what’s said to them or what they say back in anything like the sense we do…they can cobble together code that runs…but they can’t debug the stuff that doesn’t…just shake up the chunks of available API & try to spit out another sequence that will execute

          …at least as far as I understand it…which is admittedly not all that far…I know someone who lectures people about AI & machine learning who could have told you exactly how the previous generations of these models did their thing…maybe even build you one if you could pick up the tab…but they still haven’t figured out what makes GPT3+ so different from v.1 & 2

          …they still seem pretty certain about that chinese room part, though…which…would reassure me a lot more if it didn’t seem a lot like a good number of people get by pulling the same routine of stitching together something that sounds like they think it should without really knowing what they’re saying?

  8. DeSantis’s fascist education bill also I feel like guts title 9 which I think means there could be the plan to make a supreme court case to gut title 9 nationwide, like how the Texas and Mississippi abortion cases were used to gut Roe v Wade.

    Honestly I think I’m just going to start asking republicans when they’re going to just openly say they want to live under Taliban rule. I know that’s an oversimplification, but one of the things we’ve all heard from years is some variation of “well if you say something the Taliban doesn’t like, you’re going to jail/etc” and that’s the same ethos Florida seems to want to capture.

    • …bill hicks used to joke that the hari krishna were the fifth largest army “& they’ve already got our airports”…but y’all qaeda genuinely seems to be trying to bootstrap its own brand of intolerant bigotry into a state-level (or technically federal) minority rule using the same playbook with a different sacred text…& about as much respect for the text…so…yeah…that sadly seems to be about the size of it?

    • this seems apropriate

      you know….its a little disturbing how protest songs somehow stay relevant

      its like we arent learning shit or something

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